Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.115894 0.129229 0.142870 0.157827 0.173729 0.190095 0.208172
2024-10-13 0.098469 0.116936 0.136532 0.158744 0.183092 0.208850 0.238040
2024-10-20 0.085007 0.106863 0.130820 0.158751 0.190147 0.224100 0.263345
2024-10-27 0.073548 0.097645 0.124876 0.157444 0.194874 0.236122 0.284597
2024-11-03 0.065674 0.091668 0.121862 0.158788 0.202032 0.250439 0.308101
2024-11-10 0.060430 0.088241 0.121341 0.162606 0.211704 0.267380 0.334435
2024-11-17 0.053997 0.082739 0.117830 0.162446 0.216381 0.278327 0.353732
2024-11-24 0.050030 0.079980 0.117363 0.165687 0.224877 0.293569 0.377909
2024-12-01 0.045634 0.076271 0.115395 0.166825 0.230646 0.305469 0.398104
2024-12-08 0.041147 0.072062 0.112482 0.166522 0.234454 0.314892 0.415285
2024-12-15 0.037634 0.068903 0.110697 0.167443 0.239611 0.325823 0.434184
2024-12-22 0.033799 0.064968 0.107631 0.166507 0.242292 0.333645 0.449295
2024-12-29 0.031569 0.063317 0.107671 0.169725 0.250400 0.348371 0.473122
2025-01-05 0.028732 0.060519 0.105966 0.170520 0.255365 0.359227 0.492306
2025-01-12 0.025893 0.057466 0.103715 0.170441 0.259110 0.368521 0.509581
2025-01-19 0.022942 0.053959 0.100608 0.169030 0.261005 0.375436 0.523903
2025-01-26 0.021033 0.051996 0.099613 0.170411 0.266471 0.386778 0.543656
2025-02-02 0.019955 0.051361 0.100518 0.174389 0.275341 0.402415 0.568755
2025-02-09 0.017951 0.048898 0.098537 0.174216 0.278640 0.410972 0.585074
2025-02-16 0.016936 0.048137 0.099095 0.177598 0.286665 0.425542 0.608906
2025-02-23 0.015518 0.046481 0.098167 0.178784 0.291701 0.436281 0.627967
2025-03-02 0.013910 0.044284 0.096264 0.178467 0.294636 0.444288 0.643591
2025-03-09 0.012687 0.042721 0.095284 0.179428 0.299269 0.454464 0.661949